Monday, July 31, 2023

Stock Trading Watchlist and Market Update

I made another video on some stocks I am long and watching like quantum computer stocks. The quantum computer ETF made a new high today. I touch on some long and short ideas. Some ticker I talk about include CAVA QTUM RGTI QCI NRDY PLTR YALA ARAY QSI

New Trading Video

Subscribe to my Youtube channel so you don't miss a video. I talked about setups in various stocks and some sector and macro economic thoughts.

Friday, July 28, 2023

Videos This Week

I've been posting videos on my Twitter in the mornings. I plan on doing a weekend video this weekend also. Follow me on My Youtube Channel

Google Thoughts, Watchlists

Tuesday, July 25, 2023

New Video On My Favorite Trading Software and Watchlist Run-down

I talk about my favorite platform and broker. I go through my watchlist process for certain shorts. I talk about some new tickers.

Tuesday, July 18, 2023

Watchlist Adds

Watching XLI for a long as it comes up to a trend support.

Short biased LUMN has earnings Aug 1. Shorts are in control.

The daily volume prints are making me believe this is a bear flag on COOK. The selling volume has increased and buying has weakened since that drop day on the 5th.

Monday, July 17, 2023

Watchlist For Monday 17th

I'm working on some code for an email form so you all can subscribe and I'll send an email for every watchlist I post here. I might just end up using a popular email subscription like Constant Contact or Mailchimp. I'll keep posting them on my Twitter here too.

I shorted crude oil by longing UCO puts Friday. The premiums are lower than USO which I usually trade. The more contracts the more fine tuning on the scaling out you can do. I like using spreads nowadays. The trend reversal setup is on a break of support. I jumped the gun with a pre-emptive entry. Looks good on any continued weakness(red on session).

I had an epiphany on an industry that is going to see AI and robotics disruption. Old fashioned perimeter security systems. The perimeter monitoring will maybe stay but if these companies don't start using these new robots they will be losers. I had already seen this bulky robots on wheels but there is another company called Knightscope, Inc. (KSCP) that makes security robots. The stock is pretty short-term overbought here but I imagine it will do fine in the long-term.

So this made me think of ADT the old security company. They don't have much cash to invest in R&D to build robots or buy the tech. I don't think this one is going to make it in the long-term. They've been struggling already. Looking at this bear flag setup for puts.

FREE is a health food brand. Nice long setup on any breakout.

I traded REMX well off this range to the long side. Now it is a short with the same channel setup.

CBIO Long setup on any move over Friday high of day. I'm not super optimistic of this because it's a bio and my glance at the fundamentals didn't get me excited. It is a perfect triangle though which has positive expectancy for me. Just a technical setup for a micro sized position.

Last one is 1.5x Long COIN Daily ETF (CONL) I like short biased. A shooting star red candle above upper bollinger band (20,2) is the "kiss of death". It's also way ahead of bitcoin on a comparison chart. It's basically a stat arb trade. COIN is short-term overbought and the leveraged ETFs unwind more when they go opposite direction of the underlying. Might do weekly puts for just a one or two day move.

Friday, July 14, 2023

Stocks I Added To My Watchlists

Good morning everyone! I ran some scans last night as I usually do and found some really really good chart setups. With so many sectors in uptrends I plan on doing more blog posts on here. I bought a webcam too that is on the way and will work on doing video watchlists in the future too.

I added Peloton PTON back to my short bias watchlist. It needs a red day first or some technical support taken out to be a setup short.
pton stock chart

I added this China cloud computing Kingsoft Cloud (KC) Coming off a nice long flag with volume
cloud KC stock chart

I added a financial Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. (BBVA) Breaking out off a triangular consolidation.
bank BBVA chart

Grayscale Litecoin Trust (LTCN) This might be my favorite chart setup right now. It's in the hot industry too. This is the kind of clean long bull flag I really like and don't see too often. It even printed a hammer candle on the day. The setup is a breakout over yesterdays high $6.02. So it needs 6.03 to be a long. Really good setup. The stats I have in Tradersync for this setup has it with over 50% win rate and good expectancy.

I've been following a ton of tech news but I've never heard of this quantum computer company Rigetti Computing, Inc. (RGTI). It's in Berkeley CA so it looks totally legit. I thought only IBM and a handful of research institions were working on quatum computing. Maybe Elon Musk is not as far off on AGI predictions as I thought.

RGTI "builds quantum computers and the superconducting quantum processors. Its quantum computing as a Service platform can be integrated into any public, private, or hybrid cloud. The company offers product types of platform, research, and software tools, which are used in application areas of benchmarking, chemical simulation, education/entertainment, machine learning, and optimization."

It's trying to form a rounding bottom base on the long-term chart. It's got trend momentum.

KIND I'm hesitant to go big into this one because it's on it's third bull flag already. The higher in the trend the less likely the clean flags work out as smooth as the early ones. It's a good long bull flag though. One that got given up on like so many that are running now. Even Angi's List ANGI has a strong chart now. It's wild.

My favorite Bitcoin ETF BITO because it has very liquid options. Bitcoin is actually closer to breakout level as the ETF has some decay. Good bull flag here on Bitcoin.

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Wednesday, July 12, 2023

Alphabet GOOGL Lagging Nasdaq 100

In early June Alphabet (GOOGL) started to diverge from the Nasdaq. Stocks like Microsoft (MSFT) and even Snapchat (SNAP) have continued to move higher.

There wasn't any major negative news for GOOGL but there wasn't comparative good news that keeps coming out for Microsoft. Microsoft Bing is a bit of a hub now with improved interface and AI image generator and ChatGPT-4 in creative mode that comes close to OpenAI on many things and equal to it on others.

Inflection AI had big news hit too about their $1.3 billion new investment. Inflection AI is working on LLMs similar to OpenAI's.

I think the market is just simply pricing in more future competition for Google. Over recent months Elon Musk was hinting at his own AI company too. They just officially announced X.AI today. I think that was getting priced into Alphabet stock too.

GOOGL stock price vs nasdaq

There are so many big players in consumer generative AI now. GOOGL doesn't deserve a monopoly valuation anymore with AI potentially disrupting much of our current notions of consumer tech and especially web searching. It won't happen overnight but as the mainstream starts using AI assistants more and more there will be slow shifts in behavior. I suspect whenever Apple launches a serious cutting edge AI assistant that will be a turning point. Elon Musk recently increased video uploads to 2 hours with up to 8GB file size capability for Twitter video uploads. Twitter with X Corp may be looking to seriously compete with Youtube. I added more puts on the move up today. I put on the August 4th $100 strike puts.

Tuesday, July 11, 2023

Long and Short Bias Trading Watchlist For 7-11

I saw a lot of short and long setups tonight in my scans so I thought I'd do a watchlist. Years back I used to do regular watchlists. I am thinking of doing some regularly. I'm planning on getting a webcam to do some video watchlists also. Long Bias ACIU. Never heard of this one but they have an alzheimers drug in phase II. Bull flag breaking out. The big spike is promising to see more high day range if it keeps pushing.

RWLK big momo came into the stock. It has a history as a runner years back. In 2021 it had two big runs.

VTRS is a drug company. It is testing trading range resistance with a triangle here. Looks bullish. It needs to hit 10.03 to be a buy.

JetBlue JBLU testing major resistance. Could be explosive it it holds it.

Short Bias Watches On Supernova pattern.

Supernova on normal companies is essentially a mean reversion play. On garbage pumps it's less mean reversion and more just finding true price discovery which is worth what it was before the move up haha.

I'm only planning on doing puts on these if I catch the setup. They may start to reverse today or many days. But the top is getting closer. The short setup on Supernovas is it has to be RED on the day and taking out support levels. It MUST show weak technicals to be a short setup. The ideal way to trade them is to wait for the first red day to finish and short breakdown the next day. Sometimes they drop so much the first red day though.

AAOI is a big supernova above the upper bollinger band.

FNGR has a history of run and dump. Above upper bollie too.

I'm super cautious here on RIVN. This is one that it's safer to wait for the first red day.

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Saturday, July 8, 2023

Russell 2000 Index (IWM) Technical Analysis

When you zoom out the chart lots of things become apparent. I drew up the major trading ranges the Russell 2000 IWM is in. These levels go back to last year. I see a high likelyhood of more short-term downside and level test from here. I drew up trend support too with the blue line. Trend support test is likely to be coming. So, I wouldn't be surprised to see a these levels touched. IWM once again is back in a trading range. There are a lot of small banks in this index and the Regional Bank ETF KRE has been weighing it down.

You can see KRE is in a trading range also. This isn't particularly bullish for the overall stock market going forward. The market has shown it can perform absent financials but the economy is to large extent small business.