Wednesday, June 28, 2023

Alphabet GOOGL Rounding Top Pattern Signals

Last year I did another post on a rounding top pattern with energy ETF XLE. Those levels ended up being THE top in XLE last year.

I've been watching Alphabet (GOOGL) stock closely since I discovered AI chat bot search in the beginning of the year. My first use of AI LLM's was with ChatGPT from the OpenAI website. It really got interesting when I discovered Microsoft Bing's chat search. It was like Google on steriods because you can get much more focused results much more quickly. Google search now has viable competition that is superior in many ways.

How long it will take AI assistants to catch on to the masses is the question. Wallstreet is slowly catching on to this tech trend and is downgrading the stock as management hasn't fully given answers to how AI search is going to impact their searches. I still think the risk to the search moat is far more key here than how Google itself will change its search pages.

As I show this chart on GOOGL I will also explore rounding top pattern trading strategies and techniques.















Above we see a daily chart of Alphabet that highlights the formation. What happened is the price hit a wall of resistance at 126.43 first then attempted to breakout but failed at 129.04. It was a classic bull trap. A bull trap is when the stock appears to want to go higher as bulls jump in but quickly reverses and goes down instead. The breakout in this case was a "failed signal". Failed signals in trading markets can be much more powerful than a regular signal. It means many market participants got caught on the wrong side adding pressure to the reversal.

The next thing that happens with rounding tops is price starts to downtrend. We saw that beginning on 6/22 as price opened up lower than the previous days close. Support indicated by the bottom horizontal red line was broken from way back in May. One method of trading a support line is to simply short the stock when it goes below the key levels that make it up. With tech incredibly strong this year I thought it wise to wait for some kind of confirmation the stock was going lower first. I saw a retest of that support line as price tried to make it above it again. It failed two days in a row. It is now in a clear down channel as you can see in the second pic.

Personally, I don't use any indicators with rounding tops. I do use bollinger bands (20,2) with high momentum quick spiking stocks that are topping out. Those are spike tops or pipe tops. I like entering a trade around a clear stop level. Today as price touched the upper channel line there is a clear place to cut the trade if it breaks above the line. Cutting losses fast is smart as far as trading rules.

In summary, this is a textbook rounding top pattern here on GOOGL stock. I am bearish on Alphabet over the short-term and long-term.

Full disclosure: I am short GOOGL with put options.

Saturday, April 22, 2023

Ways To Invest In The Metaverse

metaverse












The metaverse is an exciting virtual environment where people can connect, interact, and transact. With its continuous growth, there are various avenues for investors to participate in this digital realm. Here are some ways you can invest in the metaverse:

Invest in metaverse stocks: Many technology companies are heavily investing in developing their own metaverse platforms. You can indirectly invest by purchasing stocks of these companies. For example, Meta Platforms (formerly Facebook) is one potential option.

Invest in metaverse cryptocurrencies: Within the metaverse, there are several cryptocurrencies like MANA or SAND that are used. You can directly invest by purchasing these digital tokens themselves.

Take stock in a metaverse exchange-traded fund (ETF): ETFs offer a diversified approach, allowing investors to invest in a portfolio of stocks related to the metaverse.

Invest directly in the metaverse through NFTs: Non-fungible tokens (NFTs) represent unique digital assets like art or merchandise within the metaverse. You can make direct investments by purchasing NFTs.

Buy metaverse land: Virtual land within the metaverse can be bought and sold, providing another investment opportunity.

Rent or buy metaverse buildings: Similar to virtual land, buildings within the metaverse can also be rented or purchased as an investment.

It's important to keep in mind that investing in the metaverse, like any investment, carries risks that should be considered.

Reasons to Invest in Tesla Stock

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Tesla is a company that has been making headlines for years, thanks to its innovative electric cars and renewable energy products. As a result, many investors are considering adding Tesla stock to their portfolios. In this article, we’ll explore some of the top reasons to invest in Tesla (TSLA).

Strong growth potential

One of the main reasons to invest in Tesla is its strong growth potential. The company has been expanding rapidly in recent years, with revenues and profits both increasing at a rapid pace. This growth is likely to continue as demand for electric cars and renewable energy products continues to rise.

Innovative products

Another reason to invest in Tesla is its innovative products. The company is at the forefront of the electric car and renewable energy industries, with products like the Model S, Model X, and Powerwall. These products have received widespread acclaim for their performance and design, and are likely to continue driving growth for the company. Musk is developing A.I. Artificial Intelligence products that will propel the tech in Tesla vehicles.

Strong brand
Tesla has built a strong brand that is widely recognized around the world. The company’s focus on sustainability and innovation has resonated with consumers, and its cars have become status symbols for many people. This strong brand is likely to continue driving demand for Tesla’s products.

Leadership

Tesla is led by CEO Elon Musk, who has a proven track record of success in the tech industry. Musk’s vision and leadership have been key drivers of Tesla’s success, and his continued involvement with the company is likely to be a positive factor for investors. He is also is great at marketing.

Potential risks

As with any investment, it’s important to consider the potential risks associated with investing in Tesla stock. The company operates in a highly competitive industry and faces challenges such as production delays and regulatory hurdles. However, many investors believe that the potential rewards outweigh these risks.

Conclusion

In conclusion, there are many compelling reasons to invest in Tesla stock. The company’s strong growth potential, innovative products, strong brand, and experienced leadership all make it an attractive investment opportunity. However, as with any investment, it’s important to carefully consider the potential risks before making a decision. One of the current drawbacks is in some cities there are simply not enough charging stations. Especially on freeways going city to city.

Artificial Intelligence Investing and Stock Ideas

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Artificial intelligence (AI) is a rapidly growing field that has the potential to revolutionize many industries. As a result, investing in AI can be a smart move for those looking to take part on this trend. In this article, we’ll explore some of the top AI investing ideas.

Invest in AI companies

One of the most straightforward ways to invest in artificial intelligence is to buy stock in companies that are leading the way in this field. Some of the top companies include Alphabet (Google), Amazon, Microsoft, and NVIDIA. These companies are at the forefront of AI research and development and are well-positioned to benefit from the growth of this industry.

Invest in AI-focused funds and ETFs

Another way to invest in AI is to buy shares in funds that focus on this industry. There are many exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track the performance of companies involved in A.I. and related technologies. These funds provide a convenient way to gain exposure to a diverse range of A.I. companies.

Invest in industries that benefit from AI AI has the potential to transform many industries, from healthcare to transportation. As a result, investing in companies that operate in these industries can be a smart move. For example, companies that are developing self-driving cars or using AI to improve medical diagnoses could see significant growth as these technologies become more adopted.

Consider the risks

As with any investment, it’s important to consider the risks associated with investing in A.I. While this industry has enormous potential, it’s still relatively new and there are many unknowns. As a result, I would say it’s important to do your research and carefully consider your investment decisions.

Conclusion

In conclusion, investing in AI can be a smart move for those looking to capitalize on the growth of this exciting industry. Whether you choose to invest in individual AI companies, AI-focused funds, or industries that benefit from AI, there are many opportunities to capitalize from this trend. This article explains in depth How To Invest In Artificial Intelligence Stocks.

Friday, March 3, 2023

Follow My Substack

I started a substack that focuses on deep value stocks. Check it out here. I will continue posting on this blog from time to time as I have as well as my StockPursuit.com blog.

Monday, December 19, 2022

XHB Chart

Still room to go a lot farther down too
xhb

LEN

Still a lot of room to fall

Monday, December 5, 2022

Watchlist 12-7

Long Bias

DS DOW GRIL CFMS

Short Bias

OPEN W CAT PTON KALA BMTX CONN TSLA TME ABEO CVNA DISH EXFY TRVN FAZE ANGO AMPX

XLE Technical Analysis Rounding Top Pattern

This is a confirmed rounding top pattern on XLE now. Short bias. XOM is similiar.

Sunday, December 4, 2022

Big Week! Watchlist for 12-5

Long Bias

CLF DOW ZEUS STLD IYM DS IRBT BLI WRN AMRS NWTN CFMS XLY

Short Bias

NEON ZH VAPO ANGO PVBC BMTX DCFC OPEN VCSA UVXY TTCF LE PTON CLOW XOM XLE FDMT

Watching this triangle neutral on ABEO

Tuesday, November 22, 2022

VNQ Technicals

The ETF VNQ is putting up some strong technicals as well.
vnq etf

XHB Technical Analysis Hard to Be Bearish

With an inverted yield curve going on for so long it is wise to be bearish on the economy from history. However, the bottom that was put in on the markets on October 13th continues to push higher even if it just grinds higher slightly day after day like this week.

Being bearish you would want to see a cyclical and consumer tied sector like home building show weakness. It's the exact opposite. This chart of the ETF XHB is very bullish right now. It retested the trading range which is the horizontal line and has trend support which is the diagonal line. The shorter line is the "bull" flag. It's going to take a major news or event to reverse this chart. It very well can happen and it's best to be opened minded but at this moment stocks look bullish. Even tech with QQQ is hanging around.
xhb chart